Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 51.256161 58.848233 66.665407 75.280081 84.472976 93.957706 104.451934
2026-01-25 40.008423 50.802351 62.484923 75.919068 90.802437 106.663502 124.725996
2026-02-01 32.544886 44.880423 58.766790 75.243877 93.981263 114.383185 138.047248
2026-02-08 27.202436 40.566343 56.162183 75.178088 97.276532 121.756083 150.558480
2026-02-15 22.537998 36.436694 53.250338 74.286908 99.221903 127.267875 160.676418
2026-02-22 19.630947 34.126060 52.218691 75.345964 103.198010 134.900936 173.025045
2026-03-01 17.336006 32.330225 51.604500 76.723081 107.397112 142.671229 185.430201
2026-03-08 14.441337 29.382074 49.277399 75.787545 108.667544 146.903616 193.653371
2026-03-15 11.718007 26.336178 46.572438 74.171650 108.946437 149.837667 200.255882
2026-03-22 10.963347 26.130257 47.596854 77.250513 114.930845 159.498695 214.691068
2026-03-29 9.830531 25.198342 47.538799 78.864076 119.056235 166.911336 226.466560
2026-04-05 8.188447 23.228599 45.893482 78.293601 120.377319 170.900022 234.156859
2026-04-12 6.749280 21.413517 44.368526 77.830097 121.819935 175.054877 242.094959
2026-04-19 5.714531 20.163347 43.576164 78.289023 124.393424 180.561465 251.635252
2026-04-26 4.574345 18.500107 42.038870 77.636927 125.472243 184.188343 258.883833
2026-05-03 3.707467 17.209777 40.972613 77.563719 127.246130 188.631742 267.085244
2026-05-10 2.825113 15.659673 39.375504 76.658207 127.871005 191.608238 273.480006
2026-05-17 2.372603 15.017121 39.195162 77.735432 131.080263 197.783417 283.743429
2026-05-24 2.020137 14.543480 39.256032 79.136307 134.704012 204.469446 294.626934
2026-05-31 1.436946 13.205365 37.749772 78.184671 135.143590 207.128798 300.574056
2026-06-07 0.907342 11.710905 35.836379 76.540768 134.587668 208.485746 304.888569
2026-06-14 0.866590 11.976610 37.101885 79.672767 140.511391 218.061255 319.313644
2026-06-21 0.713490 11.723158 37.390106 81.313796 144.399868 225.050371 330.557760